Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 3.385715 4.021318 4.709226 5.505074 6.396350 7.359735 8.475703
2025-12-14 2.276198 3.063408 3.991163 5.148974 6.538417 8.135685 10.093394
2025-12-21 1.570701 2.400552 3.464077 4.888416 6.705865 8.907490 11.733629
2025-12-28 1.254710 2.148970 3.381466 5.131198 7.475004 10.430209 14.356069
2026-01-04 1.050016 1.999510 3.396969 5.483634 8.394722 12.186649 17.363256
2026-01-11 0.877807 1.855531 3.387888 5.784889 9.252604 13.899690 20.393445
2026-01-18 0.689855 1.637540 3.226914 5.835980 9.751177 15.146813 22.858781
2026-01-25 0.508060 1.378240 2.951803 5.671445 9.910276 15.919834 24.704531
2026-02-01 0.375982 1.171989 2.724282 5.543303 10.095166 16.717547 26.595304
2026-02-08 0.276910 0.999975 2.522535 5.424430 10.269948 17.491017 28.462498
2026-02-15 0.207159 0.868991 2.371077 5.366700 10.524329 18.377859 30.506685
2026-02-22 0.176712 0.829825 2.394967 5.617252 11.283088 20.037097 33.705135
2026-03-01 0.133440 0.735676 2.290277 5.628553 11.660700 21.156001 36.188032
2026-03-08 0.085511 0.594585 2.049255 5.350133 11.525914 21.476990 37.502685
2026-03-15 0.053987 0.485171 1.853143 5.129960 11.467359 21.904154 38.979671
2026-03-22 0.045700 0.472094 1.899362 5.410963 12.312266 23.796746 42.727242
2026-03-29 0.041215 0.475721 1.991220 5.795694 13.362179 26.050609 47.080471
2026-04-05 0.035707 0.469318 2.053659 6.120701 14.315772 28.173681 51.278598
2026-04-12 0.026005 0.425640 1.998831 6.180650 14.778341 29.503871 54.277531
2026-04-19 0.015690 0.357740 1.851514 6.012813 14.797993 30.096306 56.134097
2026-04-26 0.009161 0.302929 1.727627 5.881230 14.873225 30.776449 58.136514
2026-05-03 0.005015 0.256223 1.614468 5.758322 14.951916 31.456469 60.144263
2026-05-10 0.002700 0.221288 1.531569 5.698740 15.149468 32.341505 62.495050